... | @@ -19,12 +19,18 @@ Here are the different model experiments with the corresponding color in the plo |
... | @@ -19,12 +19,18 @@ Here are the different model experiments with the corresponding color in the plo |
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**Results** show that:
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**Results** show that:
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- Fig. 1: the mean Atlantic OHT increases north of 60N and decreases south of 60N compared to the control run in the experiments where the SST restoring is imposed in the North Atlantic and northern North Atlantic (no clear change with the restoring occurring only at the BSO); the OHT increase north of 60N is logical as the SST is getting warmer; the reason for the decrease south of 60N is probably linked to a weakening of the ocean circulation at latitudes lower than 60N following the increase in SST (so decrease in density);
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- Fig. 1: the mean Atlantic OHT increases north of 60N and decreases south of 60N compared to the control run in the experiments where the SST restoring is imposed in the North Atlantic and northern North Atlantic (no clear change with the restoring occurring only at the BSO); the OHT increase north of 60N is logical as the SST is getting warmer; the reason for the decrease south of 60N is probably linked to a weakening of the ocean circulation at latitudes lower than 60N following the increase in SST (so decrease in density);
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- Fig. 2: the total OHT to the Arctic through all Arctic straits (BSO, Fram, Bering, Davis) clearly increases with increasing SST; the strength of the increase in OHT increases with higher SST increase and is clearly higher with the North Atlantic domain compared to the 2 other domains; with the BSO domain, the OHT increase is relatively small; so the higher the domain for the SST increase, the higher the resulting OHT increase.
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- Fig. 2: the total OHT to the Arctic through all Arctic straits (BSO, Fram, Bering, Davis) clearly increases with increasing SST; the strength of the increase in OHT increases with higher SST increase and is clearly higher with the North Atlantic domain compared to the 2 other domains; with the BSO domain, the OHT increase is relatively small; so the higher the domain for the SST increase, the higher the resulting OHT increase;
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- Fig. 3: this is the OHT through the BSO, which is the most important OHT contributor to the Arctic; results are broadly consistent with Fig. 2, except that the increase in OHT does not linearly increase with the increase in SST when the BSO domain (smallest domain) is considered;
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- Fig. 4: there is an OHT increase at Fram Strait with SST when using the 2 first (larger) domains and not really when using the BSO domain; however, the strength of the OHT increase is much lower than for the OHT through the BSO;
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- the OHT at the Bering Strait also increases with increasing SST for all 3 domains, but the strength of the
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increase is much lower compared to BSO and Fram; amd the changes in OHT at Davis Strait are very small in all experiments (not shown);
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- Fig. 5: the total Arctic-sea ice area (SIA) and volume (SIV) decrease in all experiments with SST increase, in agreement with the OHT increase; the strength of the SIA decrease is higher with increased SST for the 2 first domains, but not for the BSO domain (where the strength of the SIA decrease is relatively similar between the 3 experiments);
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**Fig. 1: Latitudinal transect of mean Atlantic OHT averaged over 50 years (except 2000-2014 for the CMIP6 r1 member to compare to TF2017); OHT estimates from Trenberth and Fasullo (TF2017) and hydrographic measurements (as in Grist et al., 2018) are plotted for reference; the number in brackets is the difference in mean OHT between the experiment and the control (CTRL)**
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**Fig. 1: Latitudinal transect of mean Atlantic OHT averaged over 50 years (except 2000-2014 for the CMIP6 r1 member to compare to TF2017); OHT estimates from Trenberth and Fasullo (TF2017) and hydrographic measurements (as in Grist et al., 2018) are plotted for reference; the number in brackets is the difference in mean OHT between the experiment and the control (CTRL)**
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**Fig. 2: Time series of annual mean total OHT at Arctic straits (BSO+Fram+Davis+Bering); the number in brackets is the difference in mean OHT between the experiment and the control (CTRL)**
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Important note: These figures were produced by D. Docquier and constitute preliminary results (not published in papers). |
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Important note: These figures were produced by D. Docquier and constitute preliminary results (not published in papers). |
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