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Update CMIP6 authored by David Docquier's avatar David Docquier
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......@@ -5,13 +5,13 @@ The plots below show:
- the latitudinal transect of northward Atlantic ocean heat transport averaged over 2000-2014 (Fig. 3)
- the latitudinal transect of northward Pacific ocean heat transport averaged over 2000-2014 (Fig. 4)
- the time series of northward Atlantic ocean heat transport at 60N and 70N (Fig. 5)
- the detrended March Arctic sea-ice area against the detrended annual mean Atlantic ocean heat transport at 70N for all points between 1950 and 2014 (Fig. 6)
- the detrended March Arctic sea-ice volume against the detrended annual mean Atlantic ocean heat transport at 70N for all points between 1950 and 2014 (Fig. 7)
- the detrended March Arctic sea-ice area against the detrended annual mean Atlantic ocean heat transport at 70N for all points between 1950 and 2014 for some models (Fig. 6)
- the detrended March Arctic sea-ice volume against the detrended annual mean Atlantic ocean heat transport at 70N for all points between 1950 and 2014 for some models (Fig. 7)
from the [CMIP6](https://esgf-node.llnl.gov/search/cmip6/) historical runs (data kindly downloaded by Klaus Zimmermann and Michael Sahlin at SMHI). Also shown are the multi-model means (thick dashed black curve) and observations/reanalysis (thick solid black curve).
from the [CMIP6](https://esgf-node.llnl.gov/search/cmip6/) historical and SSP1-2.6/SSP5-8.5 runs (data kindly downloaded by Klaus Zimmermann and Michael Sahlin at SMHI). Also shown are the multi-model means (thick dashed black curve) and observations/reanalysis (thick solid black curve).
![SIA_CMIP6](uploads/c7da1125012e34afb5319366ff748c07/SIA_CMIP6.png)
Fig. 1: Time series of Arctic sea-ice area in (a) March and (b) September for historical runs. The thick dashed black curve is the multi-model mean and the thick solid black curve is the OSI-450 satellite dataset. The number in brackets indicates the number of members to compute the mean sea-ice area for each model (number of models for the multi-model mean).
Fig. 1a: Time series of Arctic sea-ice area in (a) March and (b) September for historical runs. The thick dashed black curve is the multi-model mean and the thick solid black curve is the OSI-450 satellite dataset. The number in brackets indicates the number of members to compute the mean sea-ice area for each model (number of models for the multi-model mean).
![SIA_CMIP6_ssp126](uploads/2430cd840a589f5dacd48f0fdcd44b5b/SIA_CMIP6_ssp126.png)
Fig. 1b: Time series of Arctic sea-ice area in (a) March and (b) September for SSP1-2.6. The thick dashed black curve is the multi-model mean. The number in brackets indicates the number of members to compute the mean sea-ice area for each model (number of models for the multi-model mean).
......@@ -19,16 +19,16 @@ Fig. 1b: Time series of Arctic sea-ice area in (a) March and (b) September for S
![SIA_CMIP6_ssp585](uploads/27d00e87226897c3f4523a0750cc083c/SIA_CMIP6_ssp585.png)
Fig. 1c: Time series of Arctic sea-ice area in (a) March and (b) September for SSP5-8.5. The thick dashed black curve is the multi-model mean. The number in brackets indicates the number of members to compute the mean sea-ice area for each model (number of models for the multi-model mean).
![SIV_CMIP6](uploads/39fb7a344e635f5185c04b70c7b66dcb/SIV_CMIP6.png)
Fig. 2: Time series of Arctic sea-ice volume in (a) March and (b) September for historical runs. The thick dashed black curve is the multi-model mean and the thick solid black curve is the PIOMAS reanalysis dataset. The number in brackets indicates the number of members to compute the mean sea-ice volume for each model (number of models for the multi-model mean).
![SIV_CMIP6](uploads/b03bbfc86d509f5fdb73492a08190c01/SIV_CMIP6.png)
Fig. 2a: Time series of Arctic sea-ice volume in (a) March and (b) September for historical runs. The thick dashed black curve is the multi-model mean and the thick solid black curve is the PIOMAS reanalysis dataset. The number in brackets indicates the number of members to compute the mean sea-ice volume for each model (number of models for the multi-model mean).
![SIV_CMIP6_ssp126](uploads/c6c63b8f1c94844008a5713f6ccd9194/SIV_CMIP6_ssp126.png)
![SIV_CMIP6_ssp126](uploads/87de6e75a726d17815b3106681c2dbb3/SIV_CMIP6_ssp126.png)
Fig. 2b: Time series of Arctic sea-ice volume in (a) March and (b) September for SSP1-2.6. The thick dashed black curve is the multi-model mean. The number in brackets indicates the number of members to compute the mean sea-ice volume for each model (number of models for the multi-model mean).
![SIV_CMIP6_ssp585](uploads/33a6a9ec6ffd21bb21e23c3e9363a042/SIV_CMIP6_ssp585.png)
![SIV_CMIP6_ssp585](uploads/7ff06c5d2eb5343029fbcab67479e734/SIV_CMIP6_ssp585.png)
Fig. 2c: Time series of Arctic sea-ice volume in (a) March and (b) September for SSP5-8.5. The thick dashed black curve is the multi-model mean. The number in brackets indicates the number of members to compute the mean sea-ice volume for each model (number of models for the multi-model mean).
![hfbasin_atl_CMIP6](uploads/e47571a0ff0e03fdec861b7399710099/hfbasin_atl_CMIP6.png)
![hfbasin_atl_CMIP6](uploads/8df7a4c3f27305adb196b4702a3cbf96/hfbasin_atl_CMIP6.png)
Fig. 3: Latitudinal transect of northward Atlantic ocean heat transport (OHT) averaged over 2000-2014. The thick solid line is the reanalysis from Trenberth and Fasullo (2017) and the different dots show the hydrographic measurements with their associated uncertainty represented as error bars. The number in brackets indicates the number of members to compute the mean OHT for each model.
![hfbasin_pac_CMIP6](uploads/d1d95b4b6c09800c6c5b19f53f32e5fe/hfbasin_pac_CMIP6.png)
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